Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.008515 0.009995 0.011768 0.014083 0.017077 0.020896 0.026263
2025-10-12 0.006752 0.008554 0.010969 0.014564 0.020012 0.028411 0.043406
2025-10-19 0.005613 0.007446 0.010078 0.014347 0.021581 0.034473 0.062728
2025-10-26 0.004933 0.006782 0.009585 0.014466 0.023575 0.042154 0.092498
2025-11-02 0.004360 0.006154 0.008989 0.014204 0.024731 0.048852 0.128960
2025-11-09 0.003817 0.005484 0.008193 0.013373 0.024441 0.052152 0.161254
2025-11-16 0.003409 0.004973 0.007579 0.012734 0.024333 0.055929 0.204315
2025-11-23 0.003190 0.004742 0.007406 0.012908 0.026144 0.066573 0.314693
2025-11-30 0.002946 0.004440 0.007063 0.012654 0.026818 0.074298 0.447296
2025-12-07 0.002710 0.004126 0.006653 0.012178 0.026754 0.079490 0.599768
2025-12-14 0.002536 0.003905 0.006393 0.011983 0.027424 0.088540 0.906810
2025-12-21 0.002459 0.003846 0.006435 0.012489 0.030398 0.112124 2.105735
2025-12-28 0.002417 0.003862 0.006656 0.013558 0.036109 0.164917 14.576269
2026-01-04 0.002316 0.003759 0.006626 0.014012 0.040139 0.222361 1119.576915
2026-01-11 0.002175 0.003565 0.006372 0.013807 0.041535 0.265036 NaN
2026-01-18 0.002072 0.003435 0.006242 0.013919 0.044446 0.341999 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001955 0.003267 0.006006 0.013671 0.045611 0.407736 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001814 0.003041 0.005615 0.012882 0.043728 0.415862 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001697 0.002855 0.005300 0.012275 0.042544 0.437225 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001638 0.002782 0.005237 0.012441 0.045649 0.589495 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001560 0.002664 0.005057 0.012199 0.046371 0.698991 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001476 0.002529 0.004825 0.011747 0.045618 0.759748 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001413 0.002434 0.004680 0.011561 0.046478 0.918696 NaN